Biden Falling Spawns a Sanders-Warren Contest (Updated)
— The numbers only work for Bernie — Say “Uncle” DNC!
1/7/20 Post-Iowa Caucus Update:
The Iowa Caucus showed Clinton-controlled DNC insiders still intent on rigging the game. After encouraging a very crowded field with media-induced upstarts like Beto O’Rourke and Katherine Harris, neither of whom could get their messaging in tune with their records, the best hope to beat Bernie became the seasoned Biden, with young Pete Buttigieg — with no attraction to minority voters — as a side prospect.
Poor Clueless Joe Biden. With multiple problems he failed miserably. The only ploy working reasonably well for HRC’s manipulators had been Warren who was showing some success diluting Sanders progressive voters. But now Warren’s fallen flat barely-to-moderately hanging on, but still viable as a straw candidate.
Meanwhile, Bernie’s been on a roll getting back more Warren voters. Sensing this, the political operatives manufactured the Mike Bloomberg billionaire back-up candidacy to stop Bernie. Bloomberg’s been spending a ton of money in the Super Tuesday states and he is setting himself up to become the Sanders alternative.
Knowing Bernie was surging into the Iowa Caucus, the game plan became to disrupt results of the Caucus to deprive Sanders of a clear-cut victory, much like what happened in 2016. This is why the Des Moines Register newspaper’s 76-year-old poll was canceled in order to deprive Iowans what Sanders looked like going into the election. Buttigieg protested the Des Moines poll causing the cancellation.
Astoundingly, with a multitude of excuses given, no reported vote results were made on the night of the caucus. The principle reason given was a new App had malfunctioned. Everyone was kept blind. The numbers were kept close to the vest by the Iowa Democratic Party’s (IDP) until well into the next day. Meanwhile, Buttigieg proclaimed himself the victor when the voting had stopped.
What Happened in The Voting:
With Biden collapsing Buttigieg got the lions share of Biden votes in the 2nd round of voting. Bernie won the 1st round’s popular vote by 6,114 and after the 2nd round he was still on top of the popular vote by 2,631. But Buttigieg reportedly had taken a sliver of a lead in the state delegate (SDE) allocation. The percentages showed both Sanders and Buttigieg leading the eight-candidate pack with the same number of national delegates to be allocated.
What are SDE’s? They are state delegates elected after the 2nd round. They attend the state convention to vote on IDP rules, make committee appointments, elect a new IDP state party chair and officially sanction which candidates won national delegates to go the National DNC Milwaukee Convention. Both Sanders and Buttigieg tied for the lead in national delegates.
What’s sad — sickening, really! — is the IDP eventually began publicly dribbling out caucus results over four days, cherry-picking precincts to always show Buttigieg with a tiny sliver of an SDE lead. Main media pundits completely ignored Bernie winning the popular votes in both rounds of voting and the important fact that in the end he’d be tied for the lead with national delegates. Instead, using the SDE allocation (which is used mostly for IDP state committee functions), they hyped and parroted Buttigieg’s victory announcement that he made when no votes had been counted, thus declaring him the winner of Iowa.
The most unreliable philosopher in all of world history would know this as a scam. The greatest philosophers today know that it is!
Final Results:
[Scroll to 12:31 in the below video]
What Does All This Mean?
Biden is toast. Where will his supporters go? For NH, NV and SC, Buttigieg, as in Iowa, likely will get most of his support. Depending how well Buttigieg does against Sanders in the four early states, Bloomberg is then ready on Super Tuesday to attempt to absorb Biden, Buttigieg and as many Warren supporters as possible for the long haul against Sanders. But it’s possible Warren will lag on continuing her attempt to dilute Bernie’s progressive vote totals.
Buttigieg, in a bid to stay viable and deflect from his lack of minority support, most likely will early on announce a minority vice presidential pick, perhaps Stacy Abrams, Val Demmings, Kamala Harris or someone else. This is the only way he can possibly rectify his total lack of demographic support among minority voters. Will it work? Who knows. One thing is certain. He’ll have the DNC, the intel community and a host of billionaires egging him on.
If Buttigieg fails, Bloomberg is the Clinton-controlled DNC back-up to try and defeat Sanders. Bloomberg will need Warren in order to help defeat Bernie at the Convention.
Thus, overall, as of now, the race still remains a Sanders vs. Warren challenge. If she stays on as a party loyalist she will help to defeat the Bernie Sanders progressive movement. It’s possible she could then be rewarded as Bloomberg’s VP pick. If Warren decides to back Bernie? Bernie will win.
Best Bet?
Give no votes to either Buttigieg or Warren and let Bernie resoundingly defeat Bloomberg just like he will do with Donald Trump!
[End of update ………………………………………………………………]
Original Article Below:
Statistics are like a bikini. What they reveal is interesting; but what they conceal is crucial.
Let’s examine whether a Sanders bikini-clad candidate is more attractive than a Warren bikini-clad candidate. Wait! … Let’s not! Frankly, I’d prefer to see neither of them in a bikini. For political purposes they each dress very well. So let’s stick with the numbers.
Sickened by eight years of Bush-Cheney, the electorate enabled Barack Obama to win the presidency in 2008. He campaigned as a quasi-outsider and on progressive issues. Once in office, however, he appointed a Wall Street cabinet and governed his two terms as an insider.
At the end of his two terms, 95% of America’s newly generated wealth had gone to fat cats at the top. Astoundingly, Obama expanded proxy wars in the Middle East, supported The Patriot Act, tax cuts for the rich, deported more people than any previous president and he also jailed the most government whistle blowers.
All of this happened as the middle class continued collapse and once-good jobs went way offshore. With a veto-proof Congress, instead of providing a very much-needed full Medicare for All, Americans got a variant of Romney Care. Interestingly, California — the world’s 5th largest economy, with a Democratic governor and veto-proof state assembly — also tabled its Medicare for All legislation.
The operative question becomes: Why have the Democrats turn into Republicans?
In the extremely crucial 2010 elections where the congressional winner got to redraw congressional districts lasting throughout the next 10-year census cycle, the GOPwingers took complete control of Congress. The corporate centrist/Clinton-controlled DNC went on to lose 1,200 elective offices until the 2018 election when the Democrats finally regained control of the US House.
This brings us to the current election where Clinton’s political operatives and well-connected media wasted three years barking up the wrong trees on Russiagate. We were greeted with an endless media stream nauseating Putin-like bombshells. We’ve also been witnessing two dozen Democratic presidential candidates relentlessly hammering away at Trump and the Republicans.
The result from all of this?
Republicans, as of this writing, now lead Democrats 29% to 27% in monthly voter registrations. Independent registrations over much of the past year have ranged from 38-to-46%. This tells us that Independent voters are paramount for strong voter turnout and for winning the 2020 presidential election and carrying the down-ballot congressional, gubernatorial and state legislative seats.
Independent Voters
Pew Research Center (see FactTank: News In The Numbers — May 15, 2019) informs us, according to 2018 election analysis, that Independent voters hold greater negative views of both the candidates and the two political parties. Independent voters are also more likely younger and male.
Frank Fear, in the LA Progressive, on August 10, 2019, wrote the following:
“In Gallup polls (twelve taken already this year) the 2019 highs/lows are Independent 46%/37%, Democrat 34%/26%, and Republican 30%/25%. Note that the Independent low is greater than the high of either party. Furthermore, one has to go back to December 2012 to find a reporting period when a party is picked over the Independent option. And, then — just like a radar blip — that preference vanished. Independent has prevailed ever since.”
Despite the DNC’s monumental efforts to block Bernie Sanders from winning the Democratic nomination in 2016 and in 2020, the demographics of the below polling prove that Independent voters, and especially younger voters, want Bernie Sanders as President!
Polling also shows Warren’s strongest demographic group is college educated. The former Harvard University professor’s reality background just won’t play well in the South, Midwest and especially in the Rust Belt, regions which Hillary Clinton substantially lost.
Also, Warren is seriously not polling well among black voters which is indeed an indicator of potential low-voter turnout in the general election were she the nominee (see The New York Intelligenser 8/20/19: Elizabeth Warren’s Struggle to Draw Black Voters Is a Big Problem).
Youth Vote
Below is some 2020 polling insight on the youth vote match-up between Sanders and Warren. Clearly, the future wants Bernie Sanders!
Emerson Poll:
18–29 … Sanders 29% v. Warren 6%
30–49 … Sanders 38% v. Warren 18%
The Hill/HarrisX Poll:
18–34 … Sanders 37% v. Warren 17%
35–49 … Sanders 15% v. Warren 13%
Monmouth Poll:
18–49 … Sanders 27% v. Warren 19%
Economist/YouGov:
18–29 … Sanders 32% v. Warren 19%
30–44 … Sanders 26% v. Warren 18%
Swing States (voting for Obama and then Trump)
See “Bernie Out-raises Biden in Obama-Trump Swing State Counties (Daily Beast — August 27, 2019). In those counties Bernie raised more than Buttigieg by two to one and he raised more than Warren and Biden by three to one. Anyone think these counties will be important for the Democrat winning in 2020?
The Rust Belt
This crucial region has historically been a stronghold for Democrats pretty much since FDR proved Democrats were for people and Republicans were for profits. Important Rust Belt states include Illinois, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, Indiana and Pennsylvania.
How about a quick look at Ohio which has 7.8 million registered voters. Of them, 1.3 million are Democrats and 1.9 million are Republicans. This leaves 4.6 as Independent. Who appeals to these largely working-class Independent voters, Sanders or Warren?
Startling Statistics:
In Michigan, Trump won independent voters by 16 points, while in 2008 Obama carried indies.
In Wisconsin, Trump carried independents 50% to 40%, while Obama won them in 2008, 58% to 39%, giving him his margin over John McCain.
In Pennsylvania in 2016, independents broke for Trump over Clinton 48% to 41%. Eight years earlier they backed Obama over McCain 58% to 39%.
Conclusion Memo
TO: The DNC
FROM: The Working People of The United States
DATE: Yesterday, Today & Tomorrow
SUBJECT: Stop Screwing Bernie Sanders — Support Him!
We are sick of George Bush, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump-like presidencies which serve only to enhance interests of America’s Oligarch Enrichment Project. We have witnessed virtually all of America’s wealth go to 1% of America’s oligarchs with the upper 10% serving as an Oligarch Protection Unit.
- We are disgusted that CEO pay rose 940% since Reagan, while worker pay lifted only 12%.
- We are shocked to acknowledge our American Dream taken from us, that the middle class has collapsed and poor folks now live within an underground economy having become orphans of our courts.
- We are saddened to see America’s defense budgets in the past three years soar towards 800 billion dollars and a condition of perpetual war meant only to create profits for a few.
- We want rational international diplomacy, not bully diplomacy — we want to hold healthy relationships with other nations and be comfortable in trade and commerce.
- We are depressed the influence of oligarch money has taken over our elections, that our elections now feel rigged.
- We are fearful of living under a surveillance state with the continued erosion of our Constitutional rights. We want an end to the Drug War and the resultant militarization of our policing.
- We want good jobs, good homes, health care and educational opportunities. We want clean air and wholesome foods and we wish to be friends with wildlife and preserve endangered species.
- We want to live in a culture that celebrates the arts, music, dance, literature, history and the like.
- We’ve lost our last defense as people: The right of a free press. America’s media is now monopolized where five corporations control 90% of all news. Break up Big Media!
DNC, please stop toying us with the prospects of a Liz Warren nomination. It is a losing proposition during an especially sensitive election since the 2020 election will again determine the congressional districts to last until 2030. We need the Sanders political coat-tails to carry Congress! Warren doesn’t have any coat-tails!
To achieve this, we want Bernie Sanders as America’s 46th president. Much like the state of Vermont where Bernie is from, we want America once again to become known far and wide as “America The Beautiful!”
We, hereby, demand that the DNC cease its political shenanigans and let the future President Sanders, here now, build his political movement to make the Democratic Party the strongest it has ever been. We know this can and will happen if the party begins to welcome Independent voters, at Bernie’s invitation, into its nominating process.
Finally, we herewith demand the DNC say “uncle” to the Bernie Sanders Campaign! A Democratic victory in 2020 and beyond!
